In the previous federal election, discussions in Quebec shifted from defending the province’s interests to defending Canada against the backdrop of Donald Trump’s tariff threats and statements about incorporating Canada as the 51st state. The Liberals, led by Mark Carney, capitalized on this sentiment, achieving their strongest performance in Quebec in years and sidelining the Bloc Québécois.
As Quebec gears up for its provincial election starting today, attention turns to whether the U.S. president will once again wield significant influence. The focus leading up to the campaign launch centered on the impact of newly imposed tariffs, compelling all party leaders to demonstrate their ability to protect the province from economic repercussions.
Economic stability has emerged as a key concern for voters, overshadowing previous debates on Quebec identity, secularism, and language. The Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ), facing challenges after two terms in power and amid an unsettled electorate, stands to benefit the most if voters prioritize economic security.
Oxford Economics’ recent report indicates that Quebec, heavily reliant on automotive, metals, and manufacturing exports, will be among the provinces most affected by the new tariffs. As the election unfolds, parties are making their case on how they plan to navigate the economic challenges ahead.
The Parti Québécois (PQ) leader, Paul St-Pierre Plamondon, clarified that a referendum on Quebec’s future would not be pursued until the end of Trump’s second term. Despite the PQ initially leading in polls, the race has tightened, with the CAQ gaining ground on both the PQ and Liberals.
Christine Fréchette, leader of the CAQ, benefits from being in power during this period of uncertainty and has announced initiatives to support businesses impacted by the tariffs. Fréchette’s opponents are challenging her ability to handle the current situation, emphasizing the need for stronger federal relationships and effective negotiation tactics.
The upcoming election pitches from various parties include proposals such as a “Trump provision” by Québec Solidaire to aid affected workers and businesses, and spending cuts and tax relief promises from Éric Duhaime’s Conservatives. As the campaign unfolds, the leader who can convey stability and strength amid the challenges posed by Trump and the tariffs is likely to gain an advantage, according to political analysts.